Tag: Bridgwater Financial Services

You can’t predict the future, but you can learn from the past

If I had a penny for every time I heard someone say “If only we could predict the future” as they think about investing in the markets, then I’d be giving Warren Buffet a good run for his money.

Having said that, it always strikes me that we actually can go a long way to predicting market behaviour. It’s our ability to look back in time, into the established long-term patterns of the markets that can unlock the key to future returns. The past can provide a good indication of the economic cycles and their effect on future markets across the world. 

So what has history taught us?

If there is one thing that becomes clear when you examine the performance of the stock markets, especially in the UK and the USA, it’s that there is a consistent pattern of growth and returns; with world markets more frequently rewarding investors despite periods of economic slowdown and uncertainty.

Over the last 100, in the UK All Share Index, we’ve seen an average annual return of 7%. Obviously there have been years where large drops and gains have occurred, such as 1974, where the index fell 55% and the 1975 bounce back of a 136% increase.

However throughout its history, the standard deviation has been 21.5. Put simply this shows that for 66% of the last 100 years, returns have been between -14.5% and +28.5 with positive returns being delivered in 65 of the 100 years.

Putting your best FTSE forward

On 3 January 1984 the FTSE 100 was created. The FTSE is made up of 100 of the largest (by market capitalisation) companies in the UK; what we often refer to as ‘The Blue Chips’ and are the benchmark by which the stock market is measured and referred to in the UK.

To give you an idea of how The FTSE 100 has performed over the years, in 1984 it started with a value of 1000 and ended 2019 at 7542.44; which was itself 21.1% higher than where it was at the end of 2018.

In terms of really choppy waters, the largest one-day fall of the modern FTSE 100 was on Black Monday 20 October 1987, when the index fell by 12.22%. Whilst following the property and financial crashes of 2008 the annual price return was -31.3%. With the largest annual price return being 35.1% in 1989.

So we can see that although the FTSE 100 experiences its fair share of turbulence, the long terms returns have always been positive growth 

The Covid Crash

The markets have seen crashes happen before and they’ve always bounced back. Growth seems inevitable, although the trajectory, like all things in life, has its ups and downs.

However long-term data, both in the UK and in the markets overseas, clearly show that the trend is always one of growth.

Bear and Bull markets are created by panic selling and buying of shares in short-term reactionary reflexes to the growing and checking pains of the economy, both nationally and worldwide. 

So if your not into the short termism of Bull and Bear trading, then the trick is to understand the longer-term view, approach the investment markets armed with knowledge and patients and to sit fast in turbulent times and wait for the markets to come back. 

Make sure you’re working with a map

I think that the fastest way to ensure you end up on the losing side of the investment market is to just jump in with the hope that prices will rise across the board.

There are always winners and losers in both Bull and Bear Markets and throughout normal trading conditions. The trick is to understand where the potential opportunities and pitfalls are. If you’re not completely confident that you know the markets in the same way as the professional traders do, then please make sure that you are talking to an independent financial expert when seeking advice on any form of investing. 

There are some interesting points regarding the FTSE that you need to bear in mind, as they will certainly impact upon its overall performance as the years go by. 

For example, the index is never a good indicator of how the UK economy is fairing as a whole, as a many companies listed earn 75% of their revenues from overseas. With almost a fifth of the companies listed involved in mining and oil, all of who will face increased challenges as we move to a more environmentally aware existence, theirs is bound to be a downturn in that part of the index. 

There will always be industries that seem to be on the up. Green Energy, Pharmaceutical and Electric Cars spring to mind. History also shows us that their runs will not last. Just think about the dot com boom and what happened to most of those multi-million/billion valuations. 

If you’re going to invest by sector, do your homework and seek expert advice. In fact, whatever investments you are thinking of making, speak to an expert independent financial adviser before you do. It could open your eyes to a whole raft of unthought-of possibilities and may save or make you a fortune! 

Start with the right advice and stick with it

Please remember that markets can go down as well up and that past performance is no guarantee of future investment returns. But if you are going to invest, do your homework and seek expert advice.

The first thing you should do is to seek out expert independent financial advice. Chances are that it could open your eyes to a whole raft of unthought-of possibilities and may save (or make) you a fortune! 

As always, we at Bridgewater Financial Services are here to provide expert and independent advice and to answer any questions you have regarding investing in stocks, shares, bonds or any other investment strategy you may be considering. 

Please speak to an expert, even if it isn’t us, before you consider putting your money into the markets.  

Stay safe

Where there’s a will there’s a new way of witnessing it

The law covering how a will can be witnessed in England and Wales is just about to be updated to include the virtual electronic witnessing of wills, in certain circumstances.

This is as a direct result of the lockdown caused by Covid-19. Backdated to January 2020, the new law allows anyone who has been isolating or shielding, and who has access to video software such as Zoom or FaceTime, to get their signature on their will remotely witnessed online. 

The original Wills Act of 1837 stipulates that wills need to be witnessed in the ‘presence of’ at least two witnesses. This has proved to be almost impossible to do properly during lockdown, with many solicitors not having access to offices in order to arrange suitable appointments to witness signatures.

This recent amendment means that the established case law, that allows a witness to observe the signing through a window or door as long as they are in clear view, now extends to live video streaming, just as long as all parties can clearly see and hear what is taking place. 

Under the Electronic Communications Act 2000, a statutory instrument will be enacted in September 2020 stating that the existing phrase ‘in the presence of’ now means either in the physical presence of, or in the virtual presence of (via video link).

Virtually starting the year again

The amendment to the law will be backdated to 31 January 2020, in order that it covers all wills made during the pandemic. It will also be in place up to 31 January 2022, or longer if it is felt necessary to do so. 

However, the Government are also reserving the option to shorten the term too. Once the law reverts back to traditional forms of witnessing, then that will once again have to be performed by someone who is physically (and not virtually) present. 

A last resort

As welcome as it is, this change in the law should only be viewed as a last resort. With remote witnessing being used only once all other physical witnessing options have been explored and found to be impossible. 

Where remote witnessing does take place, then strict precautions must be in place to ensure that fraud and coercion are not present. The witnesses must understand what it is that they are observing and they will not be able to ‘witness’ a pre-recorded video of a will signing.

The Ministry of Justice states that testators (those making a will), when getting it witnessed remotely should make a formal statement such as “I (first name & surname) wish to make a will of my own free will and sign it here before these witnesses, who are witnessing me doing this remotely”

All signatures must all so be ‘wet’ as remote electronic signatures are unacceptable.

If possible, the video stream should also be recorded and kept as a record of events.

Socially distanced alternatives to video technology

As The Ministry of Justice have stated that ‘people must continue to arrange physical witnessing of wills where it is safe to do so’. With that in mind, they suggest that that witnessing wills in the following ways are an acceptable execution of the legal requirement during the pandemic, provided that the testator and witness each have a clear line of site:   

  • Witness through a window, or open door of a house or vehicle
  • Witness from a corridor or from an adjacent room into another room through an open door
  • Witness outdoors, from a short distance.

All wills still need to be signed by two witnesses who are not beneficiaries and please keep in mind that electronic signatures are unacceptable.

The longer-term future

The Government has committed to considering ‘wider reforms to the law on making wills’. In the meantime this concession regarding the witnessing of wills during the restrictions imposed by the pandemic should go someway to helping relieve the stress associated with creating or amending bequeathments during lockdown.

In Scotland the law has also been temporarily amended to allow a lawyer to act as a witness via a video conference, just as long as they are not appointed as an executor, either directly or through a trust.

As always, we at Bridgewater Financial Services are here to provide expert and independent advice on any questions you have regarding making a will, Inheritance Tax Planning or any other financial enquiries you may have.

You can also see full the guidance on making wills via video conferencing in England and Wales by visiting GOV.UK. 

 

A New Deal For Britain..

.. a massive opportunity for your SSAS Pension.

There are some remarkable changes coming our way with regard to planning and building permissions for the conversion of commercial property to residential.

As we all know your small self-administered pension scheme (SSAS) is an ideal vehicle to purchase, develop and own commercial property; with some remarkably advantageous ways of funding potential purchases of commercial properties.

We also know that your SSAS isn’t allowed to hold residential property, but did you know that it is allowed to pay for any conversion from commercial to residential?

Meaning that, you can purchase commercial property with your SSAS, flip it to residential and develop it within the SSAS. Just as long as the property is removed from the SSAS Pension BEFORE it becomes habitable. For the avoidance of doubt, ‘habitable’ is defined as the point of which the certificate of habitation / completion is issued.

There are some VERY BIG changes coming to commercial property planning restrictions

In order to get the economy moving again, the Prime Minister has announced his ‘New Deal For Britain’. Within it are some remarkable opportunities for companies to utilise the power of their SSAS pensions, by developing commercial property for residential sale.

This September, we will see some of the biggest changes in planning regulations that have ever impacted upon the commercial property market.

If you have a SSAS pension, you could be perfectly placed to take full advantage of these. As of September this year a reform of the current system will introduce the following changes:

  • A vast amount of existing commercial property will be allowed to change its use to residential without the need for a planning application
  • Land and existing commercial buildings in town centres can change use without planning permission
  • Planning permission will no longer be required for the demolition and rebuild of vacant and redundant residential and commercial buildings, as long as they are rebuilt as homes
  • Commercial premises, including vacant shops, can be more easily swapped to residential housing
  • Far more types of commercial units will have the flexibility to be repurposed through the reform of the User Class Order.

This is a fundamental changing of the rules around converting commercial property to residential and this can be done advantageously through the use of your SSAS pension.

However the rules governing what you can and can’t do must be closely followed, or you’ll run the risk of exposing the SSAS to draconian taxes on the profits that your property dealings create.

To avoid unwanted taxes there are a few simple things you can do to ensure that things go as smoothly and as tax efficiently as possible:

  • Make sure that your SSAS sells the property to a cash buyer prior to the conversion to residential completing. This means that the completion then takes place outside of your SSAS
     
  • You can leave the capital appreciation inside the SSAS and avoid Capital Gains Tax if existing SSAS members, or a sponsoring company, purchases the incomplete property form the SSAS at market value. They can then finish the project and sell it, paying only the stamp duty and legal costs
  • The SSAS can even sell the uncompleted property subject to a deferred consideration contract. This way the property is removed from the SSAS before completion, but the buyer doesn’t have to pay the full purchase price over until the conversion is complete and they can then apply for a mortgage
  • A great way of ensuring that any property in question qualifies as a genuinely diverse commercial vehicle, and therefore unaffected by the normal residential property rules, is for a number of independent SSAS’s to come together in order to carry out bulk projects
  • Another way to not get taxed for converting or building is simply don’t convert or build. A SSAS can buy and demolish commercial property and then sell the land to a developer for a commercial gain
  • You can also take advantage of any 12 month loan window available by getting the SSAS to lend up to 50% of the funds value in order for the sponsoring company to purchase or convert the property; and repay the SSAS upon the completion of the sale.

There are all sorts of opportunities to take advantage of these coming changes with a SSAS Pension. If you don’t currently have one, then perhaps now’s the right time to convert an existing scheme to a SSAS, or set one up.

Whatever you are thinking, now is the time to act as it can take up to three months to get a new SSAS registered by HRMC. Especially as many of their staff have been moved to other departments in order to handle the furlough scheme.

If you are thinking about setting up a SSAS, in order to take advantage of these new changes in property legislation when they kick-in in September, then please get independent and professional advice.

Doing things right from the very start will save an awful lot of hassle and expense further down the line. Especially with something as complex as a SSAS Scheme, where the wrong advice, or no advice at all, could result in significant tax penalties.

As always, we at Bridgewater Financial Services are here to provide expert and independent advice on any questions you have regarding a SSAS pension, or any other financial enquiries you may have.

Stay on the right side of the law with Lasting Power of Attorney

Whilst Lasting Powers of Attorney can be the ideal way to safeguard the financial affairs of someone who has unfortunately lost the capacity to do it for themselves (the donor), it does come with some important and onerous responsibilities. 

If you are not fully aware of these, then there is a danger that you could end up with a court judgment against you. In fact, in 2018/2019 court judgements against people acting outside their permitted powers more than doubled on the previous year.

It’s a complex area of law. However following a recent ruling by the Court of Protection (COP), which was referred to them by the Office of the Public Guardian (OPG), new guidance is now available. In order to save you the job of sifting through the Court’s judgement and summary, I’ve highlighted the main points in this blog.

The majority of cases under review contained compulsory instructions given to the person with the power of attorney (an attorney) on how they should act. The court rules that the use of compulsory instructions was incompatible with the notion of having to ‘act in the best interest’ of the donor and that an attorney should not be bound by such instructions.

In terms of an attorney using the donor’s money for the benefit of others, without the need of gaining approval from the COP, the judge also made the following important comments:

How to make gifts 

The Mental Capacity Act 2005 clearlysets out what gifts an attorney is able to make. With restrictions in place to protect the donor’s assets from being ‘gifted away’.

As an attorney, you are able to make gifts on birthdays, Christmas or to charities the donor may have previously been a supporter of; with the value of that gift been seen to be reasonable and not detrimental to the donor’s future financial needs.

Obviously this hinders any estate planning that hopes to use large gifts as a mechanism for reducing the value of the estate.

It is possible to make gifts outside of these restrictions by applying to the COP. However this will add costs and delays, with no guarantee of a successful outcome.

If the donor is still capable of making the gifts themselves, then this should be supported. Although, if the donor has any intentions of making substantial gifts this is best done prior to incapacity becoming an issue.

Can an attorney provide for others?

If a payment is deemed to meet the needs of someone the donor was obliged to provide for, such as a spouse or any dependents, then this has always been viewed differently to that of a gift.

However, the recent ruling by the COP has extended this. The Judge commented upon the requirement to act in the ‘best interests’ of the donor, so felt that an attorney shouldn’t just be limited to ‘needs’, but should also take into consideration the donor’s ‘past and present wishes and feelings, beliefs and values’. Which broadly means that an attorney can do whatever he or she believes that the donor may have reasonably done themselves; but you may need to provide some evidence of this. 

Providing evidence of intention

The best evidence of intent comes from a donor’s past behaviour. Or, better still, an expression of intent included within the power of attorney document. 

When making decisions an attorney need only take evidence into account, they are not bound by it. As an attorney’s main consideration should always be the best interest of the donor and not the interest of the recipient.

Be aware that justifying an action on the basis of saving Inheritance Tax (IHT) is unlikely to be deemed to be in the donor’s best interest. There needs to be other factors and motives, although the size of the donor’s estate and associated costs of lifestyle and care can also influence decisions.

As a general rule, and to avoid misinterpretation, any money transferred to an individual that falls outside the definition of a gift under the Mental Capacity Act 2005, will be deemed to be a transfer of value for IHT, unless it’s covered by an exemption.

Scottish independence!

If you are in Scotland, then the legal position is a little different.

An attorney is able to make gifts, including those for estate planning purposes, just as long as the donor has specifically included this within their power of attorney document.

To sum things up

The ruling by the COP provides greater opportunity for an attorney to provide for the needs of family members, without being confined to only providing gifts on birthdays or Christmas. However, these provisions need to be made in conjunction with a clear expression of wishes by the donor along with a belief, by the attorney, that these actions are in the best interests of the donor.

Any uncertainty should result in an application to the COP for further clarity and permission. 

As always, if you have any questions regarding Lasting Powers of Attorney, or if you need to put an LPA in place, then please contact us at Bridgewater Financial Services, where we will be delighted to guide you through the complex process.